Friday, April 15, 2005
North West Durham Seat predictions
Some data from the nice folks over at Electoral Calculus now they use a universal swing calculation to work this out, plus local factors if any, hence why they have included "other". As far as I am aware no "other" parties are running...unless I start a "None of the above" party that is!
MP Hilary Armstrong (LAB)
This will probably by about right with the usual +/-2% error factor, unless the other parties get their fingers out and get some serious campaigning done.
MP Hilary Armstrong (LAB)
| Electorate | 67,062 | Turnout | 58.49% | |
| 2001 Votes | 2001 Share | Prediction | ||
| LAB | 24,526 | 62.52% | 56.68% | |
| CON | 8,193 | 20.89% | 23.35% | |
| LIB | 5,846 | 14.90% | 16.43% | |
| OTH | 661 | 1.69% | 3.54% | |
| LAB Majority | 16,333 | 41.64% | Pred Maj | 33.32% |
This will probably by about right with the usual +/-2% error factor, unless the other parties get their fingers out and get some serious campaigning done.
